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Europe’s global decline leads policy experts to lean increasingly towards extreme solutions. Awareness that already in this century Europe has gone from level-pegging with the US to only two-thirds of its GDP has sparked calls for radical policies. Progressive europhiles thus join populist europhobes in their exasperation with the EU.

Unpalatable choices for an EU with shrinking options

Giles Merritt urges a rigorous re-think of Europe’s strengths and weaknesses to fuel debate on a streamlined EU suited to the new ‘Age of Disruption’.

As minister of justice from 2015 to 2023, Ziobro was the author of judiciary reforms which provoked a major conflict with Brussels.

Hungary grants asylum to Polish ex-justice minister

Hungary has granted political asylum to Poland’s former Justice Minister Zbigniew Ziobro who is facing charges of embezzlement.

Despite the fact that Russia is an economic midget and, as proven by the grave daily attacks on the civilian population all over Ukraine, a failed state in any civilized sense, Europe is far weaker at present than it should be.

Who Really Defends Europe — Ukraine or the U.S.?

Europeans still hesitate to understand that their defense will no longer be provided by the United States – but by Ukraine. That is true in a far more comprehensive sense than has been considered to date.

Europe’s Eastern flank, with the Black Sea at its core, has become an active war zone and a decisive hinge in the continent’s security order. At the same time, the unpredictability of the United States is forcing Europeans to design its own more credible security architecture.

France, Turkey, and a Reset in the Black Sea

A renewal of relations between France and Turkey is vital to strengthen European strategic autonomy. To make this détente a reality, Paris and Ankara should move beyond personal friction and jointly engage with questions of Black Sea security.

In the 1990s, it was thought that, both domestically and internationally, greater financialization would make individuals and countries grow faster. It was presented as a substitute for economic equality: Everybody who wanted to study or had a good idea could easily borrow and supposedly become rich.

Was the World of the 1990s Better Than Today’s?

Revisiting the illusions of the 1990s and how that era’s ideals led to today’s realities.

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It is the NATO alliance that enables the American presence on Greenland, and it is the NATO alliance that the United States threatens when it threatens its ally Denmark. So long as the United States and Denmark are promised to defend one another from attack, Greenland is defended by both of them, and indeed by all of the other NATO allies. If the NATO alliance ceases to exist, then Greenland immediately becomes much less secure -- and, for that matter, so does every other member of the alliance, including the United States. Nothing could strengthen Russia and China more than the end of NATO.

Analyses

The mad Stamp collector

Monday, January 12, 2026

Our foreign policy as fable

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The failure by the European Council on December 18, 2025, to make a decision on Russian state assets has been depicted as a setback. Looked at another way, however, European solidarity held up well.

Europe

Solidarity Is a Must for Europe to Ensure its Own Security

Friday, January 9, 2026

Europe is designing a new model of collective security that no longer relies on the United States. For this effort to succeed, solidarity between member states that have different threat perceptions is vital.

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Brazil has spent decades cultivating a diplomatic identity built on dialogue, mediation, and strategic autonomy. It is one of the rare actors able to speak credibly with Washington and Beijing, with Brussels and Moscow, with democracies and non-democracies alike. This is not fence-sitting. It is bridge-building.

World

Why Brazil Has the Soft Power and Gravitas to Lead the Global South

Friday, January 9, 2026

In an increasingly fragmented world, leadership is no longer defined solely by military power, GDP size, or the ability to coerce. It is defined by credibility, cultural resonance, diplomatic legitimacy, and the capacity to convene without intimidating. By these standards, Brazil stands out as one of the few countries with the soft power and gravitas required to credibly lead the Global South.

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The muted European responses reflect the overbearing shadow of Washington’s influence on the continent, triggered by fears that Greenland will be the next stop for Trump’s adventurism or of the dire consequences of U.S. abandonment of Ukraine.

Analyses

The Cost of Europe’s Weak Venezuela Response

Wednesday, January 7, 2026

International rules are only as strong as the democratic states supporting them. In the wake of the U.S. military operation in Venezuela, Europeans have a vested interest in making a compelling case for international law but shy away from doing so.

The UK is already lining up with Brussels on some rules around food and agriculture to allow access to the economic European trading zone known as the single market.

Europe

Starmer ready for closer EU alignment ’in the national interest’

Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Sir Keir Starmer has said the UK should move towards closer alignment with EU markets "if it’s in our national interest".

Chávez’s death in 2013 briefly opened space for reassessment, but suspicion endured. Donald Trump’s first presidency removed any remaining ambiguity, recasting Venezuela as a criminal state and openly discussing regime change.

World

Venezuela’s Crisis Is No Accident: How Oil and Intervention Shaped a State

Monday, January 5, 2026

How Chávez’s unfinished revolution, U.S. interventionism and strategic oil politics culminated in the 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro.

Romania hosts key command-and-control structures and has become a permanent pillar of the Alliance’s southeastern posture. In defense-industrial terms, that matters: long-term security relevance translates into long-term industrial confidence.

Europe

Why Romania Is the Next Defense Factory of Central and Eastern Europe

Monday, January 5, 2026

Step by step, Romania embedded itself into some of the most demanding industrial supply chains in the world, delivering at scale for German, French, American and Turkish manufacturers.

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Ukraine needs an estimated €137bn over the next two years to cover both its military and its public services, and the EU plan is to cover two-thirds of that.

Europe

EU agrees €90bn loan for Ukraine but without using Russian assets

Monday, December 22, 2025

European Union leaders have struck a late-night deal to lend Ukraine €90bn (£79bn; $105bn) over the next two years, after failing to agree on using frozen Russian assets.

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The Bondi Beach massacre and the Manchester attacks are stark reminders that antisemitism is not confined to online rhetoric or political debate. It manifests in real-world violence. Treating it as a fringe problem, or dismissing it as mere “political criticism”, is dangerously complacent. European governments must recognise antisemitism as a national security concern.

Analyses

Bondi Beach shootings: Antisemitism the Canary in the Mine for Europe

Wednesday, December 17, 2025

Growing violence against Jews, chants of “global intifada”, bias at the BBC, and Eurovision boycotts all highlight a broader erosion of European liberal values.

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As of the latest published results (Q2 2025), the euro area’s general government gross debt-to-GDP ratio reached 88.2%, up from 87.7% in the previous quarter. A similar movement was observed across the EU, where the ratio rose from 81.5% to 81.9%, indicating a continued, albeit modest, increase in sovereign debt levels.

Analyses

Decoding Europe’s Debt Puzzle

Tuesday, December 16, 2025

As we approach the final days of 2025, we find ourselves closer to 2050 than to the year 2000 - a realisation that, from a time perspective, feels both unsettling and fascinating!

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Protracted conflicts have a tendency to acquire their own momentum: A dysfunctional status quo persists unless and until someone decides to spend political capital and break the deadlock. Cyprus is one such example—and one in which the EU effectively wrote itself out of conflict resolution when it invited one of the disputing parties, the Republic of Cyprus, to join the union in 2004.

Europe

Trump’s Peace Lessons for Europe

Tuesday, December 16, 2025

U.S. President Donald Trump’s claims to have ended eight wars may be debatable, but his peace efforts raise valid questions. Europe can learn lessons from Washington on how to break the deadlock in protracted conflicts.

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Integrating new and emerging capabilities into joint planning and agreeing with their American counterparts on clear, consistent strategic messaging should be priorities for Europe. Without this alignment, mixed signals could inadvertently undermine deterrence efforts.

Europe

Unpacking Europe’s Deterrence Dilemmas

Thursday, December 11, 2025

The debate on the future of European deterrence has intensified, as NATO allies seek to balance three key aims. Going forward, they will need to cooperate more deeply to craft a coherent strategy for confronting new threats.

more on Europe

EU Actually

EU anti-look away law relaxed by European Parliament right

N. Peter KramerBy: N. Peter Kramer

The EU anti-look away law (Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive), the dream of the EP left and green and a heritage of the in the meantime disappeared from the scene Commission Vice-President Timmermans, includes that business should not make its money by exploiting labour and destroying the environment.

Europe

Hungary grants asylum to Polish ex-justice minister

Hungary grants asylum to Polish ex-justice minister

Hungary has granted political asylum to Poland’s former Justice Minister Zbigniew Ziobro who is facing charges of embezzlement.

Business

EU waters down plans to end new petrol and diesel car sales by 2035

EU waters down plans to end new petrol and diesel car sales by 2035

Current rules state that new vehicles sold from that date should be "zero emission", but carmakers, particularly in Germany, have lobbied heavily for concessions.

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