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There is the lingering fear that Mr Erdogan is an autocrat in the making. So he was given a victory, but with limits to his power.

Is Prime Minister Erdogan Turkey′s new strongman?

By: BBC News | Tuesday, June 14, 2011

It is a time when incumbent leaders are being turfed out in Europe and when dictators and autocrats are facing popular resistance across North Africa and the Middle East.

Under the new regulation, each EU member state must appoint a national civil aviation safety investigation authority (SIA) with a budget big enough to conduct full investigations. Every plane crash, but also every near- plane crash, must be the subject of an investigation with the report ready within 12 months.

Accident investigation: the truth and nothing but the truth

By: EBR | Tuesday, May 31, 2011

It is easily taken for granted that a plane crash is followed by an inquiry, and after the initial shock has worn off we tend to trust the investigators and let them do their work in peace. Nobody is truly interested in the rules and regulations surrounding an air crash inquiry.

Iranian domination of Iraq would open the door to Iranian power projection throughout the region. Therefore, the United States has proposed keeping U.S. forces in Iraq but has yet to receive Iraq’s approval. If that approval is given (which looks unlikely), Iraqi factions with clout in parliament have threatened to renew the anti-U.S. insurgency.

Obama and the Arab Spring

By: Stratfor - Strategic Forecasting | Tuesday, May 24, 2011

U.S. President Barack Obama gave a speech last week on the Middle East. Presidents make many speeches. Some are meant to be taken casually, others are made to address an immediate crisis, and still others are intended to be a statement of broad American policy.

The lesson is that you can no more construct or reconstruct a city than you can a family or a thriving neighborhood or a successful business district. Even if you could rebuild every house, office building, restaurant, grocery store, or health spa exactly as they were before a disaster (natural or manmade), you would not be able to recreate the social order, the community, that lived in them and that shaped their evolution.

Who Should Rebuild Japan’s Cities?

By: EBR | Wednesday, April 6, 2011

There are currently 12,000 confirmed dead, 2,800 injured, and over 15,000 still missing from the terrible Tohoku earthquake and tsunami that struck Japan March 11. Experts estimate the economic loss will be $200 billion to $300 billion, or 4-5 percent of Japan’s gross domestic product.

At the same time, the West should begin arming the rebels and trying to peel off Qaddafi supporters, by publicly declaring that those who desert Qaddafi now will not be excluded from roles in Libya′s post-Qaddafi future. U.S. and European military planners should also prepare for more robust military action, including air strikes, if that becomes necessary to depose Qaddafi and stop the fighting.

What Intervention Looks Like

By: Foreign Affairs | Saturday, March 19, 2011

With Muammar al-Qaddafi now closing in on a final campaign to defeat the rebels opposing his regime, the world's attention has centered on what the United States and others should do -- or even can do -- to aid those who are trying to bring down the Qaddafi government.

The challenge is that after two years of austerity, most firms have trimmed the fat, cut into muscle and risk cutting right to bone if they go any further. The days of slashing general and administrative costs (G&A) to hit targets are over: even if firms hadn′t already squeezed their overhead structures dry, executives understand that G&A costs are quick to creep back into the system, providing little help to long-term margin improvement.

A New Time for Corporate Transformation

By: EBR | Friday, March 4, 2011

Spurred by the need to find new cost gains in a waning recovery, corporate change is back on the agenda. Corporate transformation will not be a new phrase to most readers of these web pages. Iit is likely that more than one of you will have let a groan escape your lips when reading the headline.

The revolutions have been coming for a long time. The rising in Tunisia, particularly when it proved successful, caused it to spread. As in 1848, 1968 and 1989, similar social and cultural conditions generate similar events and are triggered by the example of one country and then spread more broadly. That has happened in 2011 and is continuing.

Revolution and the Muslim World

By: Stratfor - Strategic Forecasting | Tuesday, February 22, 2011

The Muslim world, from North Africa to Iran, has experienced a wave of instability in the last few weeks. No regimes have been overthrown yet, although as of this writing, Libya was teetering on the brink.

Ironically, soaring global energy prices, especially in the futures market, could prove to be a bonanza for the three energy-rich Stans, especially Kazakhstan, in the short term. If energy prices in general, but especially oil prices, soar because of the spreading Middle East unrest, they will certainly benefit from a windfall in revenues.

Will Central Asia Follow Egypt′s Example?

By: The Globalist | Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Will the chain reaction of protests crossing the Middle East now reach Central Asia? Most of the region's nations seem well insulated from the upheaval — but not all of them.

Both the world and the Arab region are changing and, in tandem with these changes, the demand for democracy appears to be returning with renewed vitality. Twenty-two years after the fall of the Berlin wall, seventeen years after the end of the apartheid regime in South Africa, thirteen years after the democratic reform in Indonesia, the democracy wave of 2011 is engulfing the Arab (and Iranian) world.

Arab democracy rising: international lessons

By: EBR | Wednesday, February 16, 2011

The popular revolts in Tunisia, Egypt and elsewhere in the middle east are driven by a profound democratic impulse. This represents both learning and test for international democracy actors, says Vidar Helgesen.

Business history is littered with examples of companies that missed important trends; think digitization and the music industry. Yet this history also shines with examples of companies that spied the forces changing the global business scene and used them to protect or contribute to the bottom line.

Global forces: An introduction

By: McKinsey Quarterly | Tuesday, January 4, 2011

Five crucibles of change will restructure the world economy for the foreseeable future. Companies that understand them will stand the best chance of shaping it. “I never think of the future,” Albert Einstein once observed. “It comes soon enough.”

There is perhaps no better way to recap 2010 than to look back at the year′s headlines.

The Top Headlines of 2010

By: The Globalist | Monday, December 27, 2010

From the economic recession to the World Cup in South Africa — and from the fiasco of the Commonwealth Games in India to the awarding of the Nobel Peace Prize to a Chinese dissident — we present some of the year's most significant economic, political and societal developments.

There is, of course, the question of whether states should hold secrets, which is at the root of the WikiLeaks issue. Assange claims that by revealing these secrets WikiLeaks is doing a service. His ultimate maxim, as he has said on several occasions, is that if money and resources are being spent on keeping something secret, then the reasons must be insidious.

Taking Stock of WikiLeaks

By: Stratfor - Strategic Forecasting | Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Julian Assange has declared that geopolitics will be separated into pre-“Cablegate” and post-“Cablegate” eras. That was a bold claim. However, given the intense interest that the leaks produced, it is a claim that ought to be carefully considered.

At previous G20 summits, leaders have haggled over whether to include a line in the closing statement singling out China for keeping its currency undervalued, but once again this did not happen.

Outcome of the Seoul G20 summit

By: Reuters | Friday, November 12, 2010

World leaders said they would work to tackle global economic "tensions and vulnerabilities" that have raised fears of currency wars and trade protectionism as they wrapped up a Group of 20 summit in Seoul. Following is a summary of what was decided

The Republicans strike back

By: The Economist | Wednesday, November 3, 2010

"TONIGHT," exulted Rand Paul, the Republican candidate for the Senate from Kentucky, "there's a tea-party tidal wave." And so, in almost all respects, it was: the Republicans, fired up by the enthusiasm of tea-party activists, look set to pick up some 60 seats in the House of Representatives.

Africa does not need to be rescued and never will be. But we do need the international community to live up to its commitments and honour its promises, whether that be on corruption and stolen assets, on aid, trade or conflict resolution and peacekeeping.

Africa doesn’t need rescuing, just a square deal

By: EBR | Thursday, October 21, 2010

Nobody disputes the charge that Africa’s political leaders are often responsible for the continent’s troubles, says business tycoon Mo Ibrahim. But he argues that Western governments and corporations could do much more to redress the unfair practices that hinder Africa’s economic development.

Against this background, Goldman Sachs is forecasting a marked slow down in quarter-on-quarter growth in Asia excluding Japan and China.

What to do about the West?

By: Reuters | Tuesday, September 14, 2010

As sure as night follows day, a flurry of warnings that the global recovery is faltering is reviving the great debate whether Asia's economy can decouple from the West's.

Taiwan hopes ECFA will smooth the path towards signing free trade agreements with other countries in an effort to ensure that its export-oriented economy is not marginalised.

ECFA: Equal consultation and mutual benefits

By: N. Peter Kramer | Tuesday, August 31, 2010

The end of June mainland China and Taiwan signed a tariff-cutting trade agreement, the so-called Economic-Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) that aims to deepen economic ties and ease tensions between the two countries. The deal is a high point in the ‘cross strait’ policy of President Ma.

European purchasing managers′ indexes in the past week showed private sector business activity accelerating in July, surprising economists who had expected a slowdown.

Sweet Europe, sour America?

By: Reuters | Monday, July 26, 2010

Investors are finding themselves with a new kind of balancing act -- one in which they have to juggle with three major regions posing three significantly different circumstances. Europe's bank stress testing, the focus of much of the past week's market focus, is but one ball in the air.

The old model of a bank-dominated financial system that paid depositors a pittance and funneled cheap loans to exporters and manufacturers is past its sell-by date. People would need to save less if they got higher returns on the money they do save.

IMF challenges Asia to change its economic habits

By: Reuters | Tuesday, July 20, 2010

That warm glow and soft purring emanating from South Korea was the International Monetary Fund trying, yet again, to put the Asian financial crisis behind it. The IMF needs Asia on its side. The region will wield more clout at global institutions like the IMF and provide more of their funding.

Given how much money investors have made from the BRICs, that suggests the CIVETS (Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey and South Africa) deserve a closer look. Potentially, they may be the great growth markets of the new decade - or not!

The CIVETS: Windfall Wealth From the ′New′ BRIC Economies

By: Money Morning (http://moneymorning.com) | Wednesday, July 14, 2010

Martin Hutchinson, a noted commentator, author and longtime international merchant banker, tells us which countries figure to be the "next" hot emerging-market economies. His recommendations may surprise you. In fact, the CIVETS are the "new" BRICs.

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EU Actually

A mission impossible for Sébastien Lecornu, Macron’s 5th Prime Minister?

By: N. Peter Kramer

President Emmanuel Macron has again named a close ally, Sébastien Lecornu, as the new French prime minister, 24 hours after a vote of confidence ousted François Bayrou.

Europe

The EU must define its red lines in a tough new security doctrine

Realpolitik, greatly enhanced by television, has in recent weeks sent an embarrassing message around the world – the European Union isn’t the global player it claims to be

Business