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he US continues to blame higher oil prices on the Iranian attacks, ignoring the obvious reality that before the war there was uninterrupted freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. In the meantime, and to avoid the Strait of Hormuz becoming a stranglehold on their oil exports, Saudi Arabia and the UAE have been working on alternatives such as the building of new oil terminal ports downstream and new pipelines across land to the Gulf of Aden and the Suez Canal.

The US war against Iran: six months in and nothing to justify going to war thus far

An American historian was once asked to give a succinct judgement on the result of the Second World War. “Well”, he said, “it defeated the Nazis in Germany, the Fascists in Italy and the militarists in Japan – and never was the cause of justice more finely served”. If only it were that simple and straightforward.

For Europeans, the conclusion must be that a new path to supporting Ukraine’s economic resilience, now under heavy strain, lies in resetting Europe’s relations with African and Middle Eastern countries—the same countries that both face the worst global food insecurity and can make the case to Putin that he must agree to a truce.

A Black Sea Truce Is About Global Food Security, Too

A summer of escalation in the Black Sea has hurt Ukraine economically and is exacerbating world food security. A truce is needed—as is a broader reframing of Europe’s Ukraine strategy.

Mr Merz is facing pressure to resign over his failure to reform Germany’s ailing economy and hold back the rise of AfD.

Merz vows to fight on despite election ‘disaster’

German leader’s party on course for worst ever result, with AfD having surged in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and hard-Left forecast to win Berlin

Despite historical challenges, hotlines provide a useful model for crisis communication. But any new channel will need to address the shortcomings that have held previous U.S.–China crisis communication back and adapt to the demands posed by frontier AI.

The U.S. and China Need an AI Hotline. Here’s How to Build It.

It should address the shortcomings of previous crisis communication efforts and adapt to the demands of frontier AI.

In a recent interview, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan renewed objections centered on what Ankara describes as the “militarization” of eastern Aegean islands and on the resumption of surveys for the Greece-Cyprus electricity interconnection project.

Clouds gather over the Aegean

Beyond the exchange of statements, signs point to further strain in Greek-Turkish relations.

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Just as importantly, BRICS has expanded beyond its original membership through partner countries and the BRICS Plus format, allowing dozens of emerging economies to engage with a platform that increasingly claims to speak for developing nations. The real story, however, was the New Delhi Declaration itself.

Analyses

Beyond the Brussels Bubble: BRICS’ Expanding Power Cannot Be Ignored

Wednesday, September 16, 2026

As media attention focuses on von der Leyen’s SOTEU, the BRICS summit in New Delhi reveals how emerging powers are building an alternative centre of global influence.

more on Analyses

"Restoring confidence in the UN must begin with treating every member of the international community in a fair and just way. Transformation cannot be complete while a constructive and trustworthy member remains unjustly excluded."

Interviews

Restoring trust: Taiwan’s rightful place in the free world

Tuesday, September 15, 2026

The rules-based international order is under growing strain as authoritarian states seek to weaken its safeguards and reshape international rule to serve their own interests.

more on Interviews

The EU needs to bring its migration and democracy policies in line with each other. Increased cooperation with autocratic regimes on border control should always be matched with increased support for democratic actors in civil society and concerted diplomatic pressure for at least some areas of political liberalization.

Europe

EU Fails to Learn the Lessons from Ceuta

Friday, September 11, 2026

The aftermath of the Ceuta crisis shows Europe has drawn the wrong lessons. Rather than doubling down on failed migration policies, the EU needs to address the underlying roots of such episodes.

more on Europe

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Putin is cornered, and according to his perverse logic must take a huge risk. He must provoke NATO in an unprecedented way. He must invade NATO territory. He would not invade a full country of course, since he does not have the bandwidth for that. He would attack just a tiny corner of one.

Analyses

Why Putin’s Next Move in his War Against Ukraine is Against Europe

Wednesday, September 9, 2026

With Ukraine’s momentum shifting, Putin may be calculating that a lightning strike on NATO’s eastern flank is his only way out.

Dr George Zairis is an economist and a Director in Business Advisory at Grant Thornton Luxembourg, where he specialises in advisory services to EU and Public Sector.

Analyses

Iceland’s Referendum: A Critical “No” at an Even More Critical Juncture

Monday, September 7, 2026

Between wars, tariffs and even rather unusual demands to rename some of the world’s most famous bodies of water, another big event took place few days ago, this time in Europe’s far north.

Mr Milei is expected to sign a decree to speed up the planned sanctions, which would accelerate enforcement procedures ⁠under Argentine law ⁠against those participating in oil extraction in territory Argentina considers its ‌own.

World

Milei: Argentina ‘will prevail’ over declining Britain

Monday, September 7, 2026

President says UK is a country in crisis as he announces plans to impose sanctions on oil drilling off Falklands

Simply put, European leaders suffer from cognitive dissonance. They perceive the EU as a superpower on a par with the United States and China but cannot get a seat at the table in negotiations on European security. And nothing they have done or are doing goes far enough to change the calculus of their detractors in Washington or of their adversaries in Moscow, Beijing, or beyond.

Analyses

EU’s Self-Confidence Problem

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

The EU’s responses to two recent incidents expose the gulf between European perceptions and capabilities. Unless the union can bridge that gap, it will never become a real geostrategic power.

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Russia has been one of India’s most important defence partners for decades. Much of India’s military hardware still has Russian origins, even as New Delhi increasingly diversifies its purchases towards the US, France and Israel. The war has accelerated that diversification, as Russia’s own military needs and the disruption of supply chains have exposed the risks of excessive dependence.

World

Why Modi Wants Putin to End the Ukraine War

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

Modi is not turning against Russia. He is trying to protect India’s strategic autonomy.

more on World

Yet whether far-right leaders are friends or foes from one day to the next, far-right ideology is here to stay. Its mainstreaming since Trump’s first term has normalized policies once considered extreme—from climate skepticism to the anti-immigration rhetoric in Europe—echoed by politicians across the political spectrum.

Europe

Why MAGA’s Far-Right European Ties Will Endure

Friday, August 28, 2026

In supporting Europe’s far-right, MAGA and Russia both want the same thing: a weaker EU. Europe must defend itself without abandoning the openness these forces exploit.

more on Europe

Fedorov’s video highlighting political corruption last week came the day before a money laundering investigation was announced into lawmakers and bankers.

World

Zelensky should be asked what he knew about government corruption, sacked minister tells BBC

Monday, August 24, 2026

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky should be asked questions about corruption in his government, his sacked defence minister Mykhailo Fedorov has told the BBC.

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Communicate. Reputation is no longer a communications function bolted to the side of the business. It shapes financing, recruitment, regulation, partnerships and public trust, and it can be built or destroyed faster than ever in a contested information environment. Strategic communication has become a core leadership competency — and, increasingly, a core line of defence.

Analyses

The reinvention of the EMEA CEO: Why the age of compartmentalized leadership is over

Monday, August 10, 2026

Five strategic resets and the 5C framework for winning across Europe, the middle East and Africa

more on Analyses

The former Finnish PM, a keynote speaker at the one day event, said, "We need to understand that the matter of Ukraine, just like the matter of Taiwan, isn’t an issue of a single country.

Analyses

New law "infringes on Taiwan’s sovereignty" - event told

Friday, August 7, 2026

Failure by the international community to respond to perceived attacks on the sovereignty of other nations risks sending the wrong signal

more on Analyses

EU Actually

Even Fox News participates in boycott of the White House after excluding CNN

N. Peter KramerBy: N. Peter Kramer

In his weekly column N. Peter Kramer writes about President Trump’s denying CNN, Politico and MS reporters access to the White House press conferences. The three news media are going to court!

Europe

Clouds gather over the Aegean

Clouds gather over the Aegean

Beyond the exchange of statements, signs point to further strain in Greek-Turkish relations.

Business

Businesscraft: Japan’s Quiet Discipline for a Fractured World

Businesscraft: Japan’s Quiet Discipline for a Fractured World

For almost thirty years after the end of the Cold War, geopolitics stayed away from the corporate boardroom. Geopolitical considerations belonged to the foreign ministry or to a dedicated risk committee back at headquarters, and rarely crossed a CEO’s desk.

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