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Despite all her momentum, it is still a toss-up.

Kamala Harris Has Momentum… But Still Faces An Uphill Fight

By: EBR | Monday, August 26, 2024

Will Kamala Harris win this election and become the U.S.’s first female President?

The Taiwan Strait is a major trade route through which about half of global container ships pass, and both the United States and Taiwan say it’s an international waterway.

German warships await orders on crossing Taiwan Strait

By: EBR | Tuesday, August 20, 2024

Two German warships await orders from Berlin, their commander said, to determine whether next month they will be the first German naval vessels in decades to pass through the Taiwan Strait, drawing a rebuke from Beijing

The official’s comments indicated that US intelligence agencies expect foreign actors to refocus their influence operations on Vice President Kamala Harris, whom Biden endorsed as the Democratic Party standard bearer.

Foreign actors seek to influence US presidential race, says intelligence officer

By: EBR | Wednesday, July 31, 2024

US foes targeting November’s election with influence operations are expected to adapt to presidential contest developments, a US intelligence official said

It is no surprise that the Kremlin’s political unreliability has often concerned exactly those Russian obligations that were critical for the accords to make any sense.

Russia-Ukraine: Could an Istanbul Deal Have Brought Peace?

By: EBR | Tuesday, July 30, 2024

There are those who believe that Moscow’s signing of a document at Istanbul in 2022 might have resulted in temporary lowering of tensions in Russia’s war in Ukraine

At this point, perhaps the Democrats’ best hope to turn things around may well be Trump’s penchant for extreme arrogance and, for that reason, his inability to focus on maintaining a winning hand.

Will Trump Become a Victim of His Own Success?

By: EBR | Wednesday, July 24, 2024

For the Democrats in the United States, things have been looking bleak

Orban was greeted at the airport by Chinese foreign ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying, according to a photo the nationalist leader posted on social media platform X.

Hungary PM Orban in Beijing on ‘Peace mission 3.0’

By: EBR | Tuesday, July 9, 2024

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban arrived in Beijing for a visit he branded as a “Peace mission 3.0” after recent trips to Moscow and Kyiv

President Volodymyr Zelensky, who was bitterly disappointed at last year’s NATO summit in Vilnius when the alliance ducked the membership issue, instead establishing special NATO-Ukraine formats, knows his country will not be admitted anytime soon.

Ukraine, Not Trump, Is NATO’s Achilles’ Heel

By: EBR | Tuesday, July 9, 2024

NATO has a few worries as its leaders meet on July 9-11 in Washington for a summit marking the alliance’s seventy-fifth anniversary

Fragmented and poorly coordinated European efforts are proving a recipe for failures that both continents will come bitterly to regret. The Global Gateway acknowledges the EU’s need to up its game, but falls short of doing so.

Forget old-style EU aid to Africa, concentrate on energy and food

By: EBR | Tuesday, July 2, 2024

Africa’s needs are bottomless, but they should also be seen as lungs that could breathe new life into flagging European economies

Nasrallah said his Iran-backed group had been informed that Israel could use airports and bases in Cyprus if Hezbollah struck Israeli airports.

Hezbollah threatens war against Cyprus if Nicosia keeps helping Israel

By: EBR | Thursday, June 20, 2024

Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah warned “no place” in Israel would be spared in case of full-blown war against the Lebanese group, and threatened Cyprus if it opened its airports to Israel

If current trends continue, Muslims will make up 26.4% of the world’s total projected population of 8.3 billion in 2030 – up from 23.4% of the estimated 2010 world population of 6.9 billion.

Muslims: A Global Perspective

By: EBR | Wednesday, June 19, 2024

Muslims make up around a quarter of the world’s population. What are the facts?

Indeed, Egypt has been a European partner for the better part of several millennia, as little of European history can dispense with the ancient civilisation which has been both a progenitor of many elements of European civilisation as well as a trade and economic partner for most of European history.

A Case For Closer Cooperation With Egypt

By: EBR | Tuesday, June 18, 2024

Writing over at Foreign Affairs, Stephen Kotkin stresses that powers such as China and Russia do not necessarily see themselves as characters in Shaw’s Pygmalion

Stoltenberg’s visit comes as Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orban said last month he was seeking to “redefine” the terms of his country’s NATO membership over opposition to the alliance’s military support to Ukraine.

NATO chief to visit Hungary, expected to define Budapest’s opt-out on Ukraine support

By: EBR | Wednesday, June 12, 2024

After Hungary requested exemption from military support to Ukraine in return for unblocking key alliance decisions, all eyes are on NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg

The EU should launch a comprehensive “Containing Russia” package to show that Europe is determined to deny Russia access to all the technological and financial tools its economy requires.

It’s time Europe adopted a tough "Containing Russia" strategy

By: EBR | Tuesday, June 4, 2024

Putin is winning. Worse, the West is allowing him to win

The latest survey highlights the escalating challenges confronting businesses and policy-makers. Tensions between political and economic dynamics will be a growing challenge for decision-makers this year, according to 86% of respondents, while 79% expect heightened complexity to weigh on decision-making.

Chief Economists: The Economic Outlook Is Brightening But Political Risks Loom Large in 2024

By: EBR | Wednesday, May 29, 2024

82% of chief economists expect the global economy to remain stable or strengthen this year – almost twice as many as in late 2023

Taiwan’s diplomatic allies have already sent a letter to WHO Director-general Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus and demanded that its proposal backing Taiwan’s WHA observer status be included in this year’s agenda.

Taiwan reiterates commitment to joining WHO and WHA

By: N. Peter Kramer | Wednesday, May 29, 2024

During a news conference last week in Taipei City, the government of Taiwan urged the World Health Organisation to heed the voices of its 23 million people who want to join the UN special agency

When Recep Tayyip Erdogan was elected for his third presidential mandate with 52 percent of the votes on May 28, 2023, his victory was seen as an illustration of his personal command over domestic politics, despite a deep economic crisis. His international role seemed to be enduring.

Turkey’s Dwindling International Role

By: EBR | Friday, May 24, 2024

This month marks the first year of Turkey’s current five-year legislature

Hungary under right-leaning Orban has become an important trade and investment partner for China, in contrast with some other EU nations that are considering becoming less dependent on the world’s second-largest economy.

Xi Jinping says China-Hungary relations an ‘all-weather’ strategic partnership

By: EBR | Wednesday, May 15, 2024

China and Hungary will embark on a “golden voyage” in bilateral relations, Chinese President Xi Jinping said after meeting Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban on the third and final stop of his first European tour in five years

Erdogan had every opportunity to become a great leader of a great nation – but fell victim to his irrepressible need for self-aggrandizement, entirely tactical use of religious zeal and ever-growing lust for power.

Erdogan’s Golden Opportunity

By: EBR | Thursday, May 9, 2024

Turkey’s President Erdogan could have emerged from the Israel-Hamas war as a peacemaker

China opened an anti-dumping investigation into brandy imported from the European Union in January, sparking fears cognac could suffer a similar blow to that taken by Australian wine when China introduced tariffs of up to 218.4%.

Chinese tariffs could leave cognac makers with too much brandy

By: EBR | Wednesday, May 8, 2024

High Chinese tariffs on EU brandy would leave French companies with vast amounts of cognac that could be hard to sell elsewhere

The chief executive of Shell, Wael Sawan, said that returning capital to shareholders continued to be a bigger priority than major mergers and acquisitions. ‘We still see that our share price is not reflective of the underlying valuation of the company’, he told The Times.

Shell profits beat forecasts

By: N. Peter Kramer | Wednesday, May 8, 2024

Shell has reported better than expected profits for the first quarter of the year, having benefited from a stronger performance in oil trading and a recovery in refining margins

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EU Actually

China’s restriction on rare raw materials export brings EU industry to a standstill

By: N. Peter Kramer

China has a virtual monopoly on the global trade of seven rare raw materials

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04/2021 2021

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Europe

UK agrees post-Brexit deal over Gibraltar

The UK has agreed a deal with the European Union over Gibraltar’s status after Brexit

Business

To save the Single Market, bring back Delors’ 1992 playbook

Most people familiar with EU affairs know the single market is a myth. Hailed as the bedrock of the European Union, it was never completed and is now crumbling.