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The WTO now expects that the global trade in merchandise will grow just 0.8% in 2023, down from its earlier forecast of 1.7%. It is still expecting a stronger performance in 2024, with its projection of 3.3% growth remaining unchanged.

The WTO has downgraded expectations of global trade in 2023

By: EBR | Thursday, October 12, 2023

A slump in trade that started in the fourth quarter of 2022 has led the World Trade Organization (WTO) to downgrade its expectations of global trade in goods in 2023

For Germany, European security does not end at the NATO borders.

Germany’s Missing Russia Strategy

By: EBR | Thursday, September 21, 2023

Has Russia’s war against Ukraine fundamentally changed the thinking of policymakers in Berlin?

The story of Italian politics over the last 30 years includes the stagnation of the left and center-left.

Italy’s Culture Wars: A General Weighs In

By: EBR | Thursday, September 21, 2023

Anyone curious about the state of Italy’s culture war and its political implications need only look at the story that has dominated the past weeks

Norway, which has established itself as a global leader in the transition to electric mobility, can be a case study in the effectiveness of radical transparency.

Radical transparency is the next phase in the global electric vehicle roll out

By: EBR | Thursday, September 21, 2023

Regulatory demands on radical transparency should be made on countries and manufacturers to help them achieve emission-free car production

For a number of reasons though, dislodging (let alone supplanting) the U.S. dollar at the heart of the global financial system is not something that is likely to happen. Certainly not in the foreseeable future.

BRICS Dumping U.S. Dollar?

By: EBR | Monday, September 4, 2023

Geopolitics is only part of the U.S. dollar’s status

As data and evidence on forced displacement has proliferated, the JDC has tried to ensure that the quality of this information is, at best, preserved and, if possible, improved.

Forced displacement is at a record high – and so is the data we have on it

By: EBR | Tuesday, August 8, 2023

Data available for displacement policy-makers and programmers has been rising in recent years

Current and future generations will grow up in a digital society with an estimated 70% of new value created in the economy over the next decade based on digitally-enabled business models.

Why quality education is the foundation of entrepreneurship and economic growth

By: EBR | Thursday, July 27, 2023

Education is the cornerstone of opportunity — both for individuals, as they develop valuable knowledge and skills, and for society, as future generations push new boundaries of innovation and productivity

The question for business, government and civil society is how we can ensure that confidence is not misplaced and that the opportunity to acquire skills is equitable.

Youth are optimistic about the future of work. Let’s prove them right

By: EBR | Friday, July 21, 2023

Young people have had a lot to deal with over the past few years, from the pandemic to climate change, rising inequality to geopolitical tension

The Iranian regime’s violent response to the ongoing revolt builds on decades of systemic discrimination to restrict the country’s cultural, political, civic, and socioeconomic spheres.

Refining the EU’s Approach to Iran’s Marginalized Actors

By: EBR | Thursday, July 13, 2023

Marginalized groups in Iran are disproportionately affected by the regime’s systemic repression and by the country’s socio-economic and ecological crises

Polarization is a major distraction in Spain’s journey to modernization and reform.

Spain is one of Europe’s most polarized countries. Here’s what needs to change

By: EBR | Thursday, July 13, 2023

In recent surveys, Spain scores as one of the most polarized countries in Europe

The African continent boasts 30% of the world’s mineral reserves, and demand for rare earth metals alone is expected to reach 315,000 tons by 2030, more than double the volume in 2021.

Why Africa will become a prominent player in global geopolitics

By: EBR | Thursday, July 13, 2023

In the coming decades, Africa will become a pivotal player in international affairs

Public administrators who buy AI systems must have the knowledge and resources required to procure AI responsibly, taking into account societal risks and opportunities.

How to manage AI procurement in public administration

By: EBR | Wednesday, July 12, 2023

Governments and public administrators buy AI at an increasingly greater scale

The state of gender parity returned to pre-pandemic levels, but that progress on reaching gender parity has slowed.

The ’global gender gap’ – how many years will it take before men and women are equal?

By: EBR | Thursday, June 29, 2023

Things are changing, but not fast enough

Counterintuitively, Erdogan likely benefited not only from his personal political skills that come to the fore when he is in a political fight for survival.

Erdogan: Repositioning at Home and Abroad

By: EBR | Tuesday, June 20, 2023

In a twist of irony, Gulf state support for Erdogan, despite his Islamist leanings, may be driven as much by economics as geopolitics

Governments and regulators must find new ways to work with market participants to design a market frame that supports tomorrow’s energy infrastructure.

Why governments should take a light touch designing tomorrow’s energy market

By: EBR | Tuesday, June 20, 2023

Governments are taking the lead in shaping energy markets in response to recent volatility and the decarbonization challenge

One problem is that the majority of residential housing is still heated with outdated systems, often using polluting fossil fuels such as coal and oil.

Heat pumps can help contribute to carbon neutrality

By: EBR | Monday, June 19, 2023

The world’s largest air conditioner manufacturer has launched a four-step initiative which, it claims, can help tackle the climate change crisis

The spirit of the four-day workweek challenges the validity of the institutional office work schedule, which can be onerous on those also bearing the bulk of domestic duties.

How the four-day week benefits women at work

By: EBR | Monday, June 19, 2023

Before the pandemic, a handful of companies were experimenting with the four-day workweek

Those minerals—anything from light and heavy rare earths to chromium and now copper—are at the heart of a geopolitical and geo-economic competition that connects the energy transition to the hardware supporting innovation in artificial intelligence.

How the EU Can Use Mineral Supply Chains to Redesign Collective Security

By: EBR | Tuesday, June 6, 2023

The EU’s ability to deliver on its climate goals relies on strategic partners who provide mitigation assets

Turkey’s vote has been free but certainly not fair. Several opposition figures—like Selahattin Demirtas, the leader of the pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP)—are in jail, or, as is the case for Istanbul’s mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, threatened with a political ban. Imamoglu has appealed a recent conviction by an Istanbul court.

Turkey heads into a critical election runoff

By: EBR | Wednesday, May 17, 2023

After a dynamic and unfair campaign, the interim results of Turkey’s dual election send the two main presidential contenders to a second round and give a safe majority to the incumbent parliamentary alliance

The global impact of CBAM should therefore be read in this specific context, where “Europe is always perceived to give with the one hand and take with the other, often more than it gives”.

A Political Economy Perspective on the EU’s Carbon Border Tax

By: EBR | Friday, May 12, 2023

The EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism has sparked a debate about its negative spillover effects, particularly for developing and least developed countries

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EU Actually

Respite for Wikileaks founder Assange

N. Peter KramerBy: N. Peter Kramer

Wikileaks founder Julian Assange can stay in the United Kingdom for at least another two months

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Europe

From abortion rights to assisted dying: Macron’s 180-degree shift

From abortion rights to assisted dying: Macron’s 180-degree shift

In the latest episode of our Today in the EU podcast, we are looking at how European elections have impacted French President Emmanuel Macron’s policy choices

Business

Artificial intelligence and competitiveness in the retail sector

Artificial intelligence and competitiveness in the retail sector

The importance of AI and machine learning in the retail market is confirmed by the projected dramatic growth of AI services worldwide, which will skyrocket from $5 billion to $30 billion by 2030

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