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Turkey’s willingness to open the border and normalize relations, is key to breaking Armenia free of its current geopolitical bonds. But Ankara still moves cautiously toward this, out of deference to its ally Azerbaijan—even though most analysts, inside and outside the country, argue that it is in Turkey’s strategic interests to act now, while the opportunity is there and Russia is still distracted in Ukraine.

Armenia’s Election Is a Foreign Affair

As the 2026 Armenian election approaches, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan is facing fierce opposition from both Russia and the diaspora. He will need the help of Europe, the United States, and regional neighbours to advance his ambitious foreign policy.

Mamdani ran a formidable campaign, remaining relentlessly positive and using his communication skills and social-media reach to powerful effect

If progressives want to beat populists, Mamdani is not the answer

By: Rajnish Singh | Wednesday, November 12, 2025

Zohran Mamdani’s win in New York City may have made headlines, but victories in the Netherlands, New Jersey, and Virginia offer truer lessons.

If EU and U.S. leaders do not react decisively to these threats, Beijing’s economic and technological support will continue to undermine the Western sanctions regime on Russia and allow it to prolong its war in Ukraine.

China is the Weak Link in Europe’s Ukraine Strategy

By: Carnegie - Strategic Europe | Tuesday, November 11, 2025

China plays an increasingly active role in the Kremlin’s hybrid war against Europe. The EU must confront this growing China-Russia cooperation, as it poses grave threats to both European security and economic resilience.

Although the Commission and member states pledged €522 million in aid earlier in 2025 at the High-Level Conference for Sudan, this came after two years of escalating violence and mass displacement.

The Deafening Silence of the EU Over Sudan

By: Rajnish Singh | Wednesday, November 5, 2025

As the true horrors of the Sudanese Civil War emerge, Brussel’s response remains muted compared to its more vocal and active stance on Gaza.

According to the proposal for a “reparation bond,” the Russian funds would be used if Moscow refuses to pay compensation to Ukraine after the war ends, which Kiev could otherwise use to repay the European loans.

Yes to Russia Reparation Bonds for Ukraine

By: The Globalist | Wednesday, October 29, 2025

Unless oil prices unexpectedly surge bringing more revenues into the Kremlin’s coffers,, Putin will hardly be able to afford his war of annihilation against Ukraine for another two years.

As France’s political coordinates have been moving to the right, the key question for the future of France, not just from Macron’s point of view, is the ability to hedge against political extremes, whether on the hard left or the hard right.

France’s Sleepwalkers

By: The Globalist | Monday, October 27, 2025

Macron is correct: No matter how much France’s traditional parties want to avoid coalitions, that is the only way to fend off an RN government.

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Understanding the emotionality as well as the rationality of states will help us unleash the best in cooperative human and state behavior

How States Act and (Feel) — and Why It Matters

By: The Globalist | Tuesday, October 21, 2025

Civilizational frontier risks, the role of human nature and humanity’s collective future.

And, no doubt, a vast part of Britain’s wealth in the 18th and 19th century was based in large part on enslaving men and women with black or brown skins or treating them as forced labor once slavery was abolished in the British Empire by an Act of Parliament in 1833. In that sense, the fascist impulse was simply “offshored.”

British History: As full of cruelty, racism and hate as any other nation in Europe

By: EBR | Thursday, October 16, 2025

Is it really true that Britain’s special path as a nation of tolerance, parliamentary debate and democracy is only coming to an end in the age of Nigel Farage and Tommy Robinson?

Property markets differ enormously within the EU, with rentals more popular in some countries. Their shared problem is the resentment of voters overburdened by rising costs and, in the case of younger people, excluded from getting a foot on the property ladder for the foreseeable future.

It’s time to tackle the housing crisis that is fuelling populism

By: EBR | Tuesday, October 14, 2025

Housing, which is to say the lack of it, is foremost among the factors fuelling populism. Addressing acute housing shortages is crucial to stemming support for right-wing extremists

If he succeeds, Trump could join the ranks of Egypt’s Anwar Sadat and Israel’s Yitzhak Rabin, leaders whose risks for peace reshaped history—an achievement that eluded even Biden and Obama, and one his most progressive critics might have to acknowledge.

Trump’s Gaza peace gamble

By: EBR | Wednesday, October 8, 2025

Trump’s 20-point Gaza peace plan has earned global backing—and with it, the real possibility of a Nobel Peace Prize.

Seemingly decisive terms like “deal,” “success,” and “security guarantees” aim to project a sense of certainty, resolve, and consensus where they do not exist. In the context of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, such language framing policy and public debates not only does not help formulate a proactive and sustainable policy agenda but actively prevents its development.

The power of language on war and peace

By: EBR | Tuesday, September 30, 2025

U.S. President Donald Trump’s dealmaking approach to foreign policy has reduced complex negotiations to business transactions. But the now widespread use of euphemistic terms in global politics actively prevents the development of coherent policy agendas

Sánchez’s sharp rhetoric on Israel may win headlines, but it also invites scrutiny. Particularly when his government continues to provide military support to a country whose leader, Erdoğan, has referred to Hamas – a group designated by the EU as a terrorist organisation – as a “liberation movement”.

The hypocrisy of Spain’s socialists

By: EBR | Wednesday, September 24, 2025

Sánchez’s sharp rhetoric on Israel may win headlines, but it also invites scrutiny

From both a risk and safety management perspective, ICAO should permit Taiwan’s CAA to participate on an equal footing with the oversight agencies of other FIRs. This will ensure that the Taipei FIR can communicate directly with other FIRs as well as with ICAO to ensure the free flow of timely information.

A call to support Taiwan’s participation in ICAO

By: EBR | Tuesday, September 23, 2025

The International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) convenes its Assembly once every three years. During the event, multilateral meetings and discussions are held to draw up global civil aviation regulations and standards

Yet deep differences remain. Starmer’s government has been a staunch supporter of Kyiv, imposing sanctions on Russia and supplying military and humanitarian aid. This contrasts with Trump’s more transactional stance, marked by scepticism over continued funding for Ukraine and a desire for a quick peace deal.

The not-so-special relationship: Trump’s state visit to the UK

By: EBR | Wednesday, September 17, 2025

En amour, il y a toujours un qui embrasse et un qui tend la joue.” In love, there is always one who kisses and one who offers the cheek. The French might have written that line with the Anglo-American “special relationship” in mind: a partnership since the end of the Second World War where affection is rarely equal and loyalty often flows one way

And here’s the paradox: that very pressure creates opportunity. When big organizations stall under their own weight, small, lean, tech-savvy players can enter supply chains and replace rotting structures. Not because they have better slogans, but because they can actually deliver under today’s constraints.

Defaults, disruption, and the dilemma of offshore energy: Are we chasing the right future?

By: EBR | Tuesday, September 16, 2025

We like to think history moves with explosions: wars, pandemics, market crashes. In reality, the deepest changes arrive quietly

But for Starmer, the threat comes from both sides. On the right, Reform is swallowing Conservative support. On the left, Labour risks leaking votes to the Greens or a potential new party led by former leader, Jeremy Corbyn. Britain’s political landscape is fragmenting, and Labour’s once-solid coalition is under strain.

Things can only get worse? Starmer struggles as Farage shapes the agenda

By: EBR | Wednesday, September 10, 2025

Barely a year in, Starmer’s premiership is already under pressure from the rapid rise of Farage and his party, Reform UK

And, as all politics is local, not awarding any peace prize this year would be a statement on what is happening to Norway, which is a hot new Cold War in the Arctic on its — and NATO’s — border with Putin’s Russia.Most Norwegians, in a recent poll, said they expect a new conflict in Europe. The Peace Research Institute of Oslo’s survey shows a rise in fear of war among Norwegians.

Nobel Peace Prizes: The inside story

By: EBR | Monday, September 8, 2025

If you are the United States Ambassador to Norway, as I was from 1993 to 1998, the politics of the Nobel Peace Prize comes to your inbox every October when the prize recipient is announced by the Nobel Committee

Trust, once broken, is hard to restore. Modi’s refusal to take Trump’s calls and his photo-ops with Xi and Putin reflect a deeper unease. Even if tariffs ease, suspicion will remain that Washington could change course at any moment.This is a real chance for the EU to present itself as consistent, dependable and, above all, predictable — something the US no longer offers. In a world where personality clashes can upend years of diplomacy, the EU can be the partner that keeps its head.

End of the Trump–Modi Bromance: What It Means for India, China and the EU

By: EBR | Wednesday, September 3, 2025

The fallout between Trump and Modi has shaken US–India ties, but this could hand Brussels its best chance in years to develop a deeper partnership with New Delhi

The investment climate deteriorated and, in a 19th century kind of way, Russia became an exporter of its vast array of raw materials to the world’s leading industrial nations. With one notable difference: It was Russia’s leader, Vladimir Putin — and not foreign powers — who turned Russia into a colonial object.

How Russia botched an entire century

By: EBR | Wednesday, August 27, 2025

Were it not for Putin mindlessly continuing the (self-)destructive legacy of the Bolsheviks a century ago, Russia could have been a true 21st century superpower

Creeping annexation of the West Bank and resettling Gaza is nightmarish from a security perspective, morally calamitous and internationally isolating, turning Israel into a pariah.The third option, which is a single democratic state, will never be accepted by you, given the demographic equation and the prospect of Israel losing its control and ceasing to be a Jewish state.

Seizing the global momentum for a two-state solution

By: EBR | Thursday, August 7, 2025

Israel, Palestine and the U.S. must act on global momentum for a Palestinian state.

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EU Actually

Guterres: the one and a half Celsius is dead

N. Peter KramerBy: N. Peter Kramer

On the eve of the UN climate conference COP30 in Brazil, the word was finally out.

Europe

Neglecting its poorest regions risks being a fatal EU mistake

Neglecting its poorest regions risks being a fatal EU mistake

Giles Merritt warns against halving cohesion funds in the new MFF when hard-hit rural regions flock to support the populists’ disruptive messages

Business

China to loosen chip export ban to Europe after Netherlands row

China to loosen chip export ban to Europe after Netherlands row

Beijing has said it will loosen a chip export ban it imposed after Dutch authorities took over Nexperia, a Chinese-owned chipmaker based in the Netherlands.

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