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Various US presidents, including Theodore Roosevelt, deliberately demonstrated their strength toward Japan. John F. Kennedy’s naval blockade during the Cuban Missile Crisis in the 1960s, which famously brought the world to the brink of nuclear war while pushing Moscow to negotiate. In the 1980s, Ronald Reagan used aircraft carriers in the Gulf of Sidra to bomb Libya, but not a formal declaration of war.

Trump’s ‘Armada’ to Iran and the Return of Gunboat Diplomacy

US naval buildup in the Persian Gulf is putting pressure on the Ayatollahs, but it also raises the risk of military escalation, regional conflict, and dangerous miscalculation.

The CRM Act sets only non-binding targets by 2030, and these apply only to a small number of raw materials, regarded as ‘strategic’ due to their high economic importance and supply risks. It is also unclear how the levels to be reached by 2030 were determined.

EU "trapped in a vicious circle" on raw materials

By: Martin Banks | Tuesday, February 3, 2026

The EU is having difficulties securing the supply of the raw materials it needs to meet its energy and climate goals. This is the conclusion of a new report by the European Court of Auditors (ECA).

Apart from limited demining support, Baku has received little in the way of EU financial assistance for post-conflict recovery, including the rebuilding of its recovered territories, a process it has so far financed largely from its own budget at a cost of roughly €14 billion ($16.5 billion) since 2020.

EU Falls Behind in the South Caucasus Connectivity Race

By: Carnegie - Strategic Europe | Tuesday, February 3, 2026

The EU lacks leadership and strategic planning in the South Caucasus, while the United States is leading the charge. To secure its geopolitical interests, Brussels must invest in new connectivity for the region.

Fidesz is not merely a ruling party but a revolutionary political force that has used institutions and public resources to systematically reshape the Hungarian state. Over the past decade, Orbán has also invested tens of millions of euros in building a global illiberal network, with himself at the center.

New Tricks and AI Tools in Hungary’s High-Stakes Election

By: Carnegie - Strategic Europe | Tuesday, January 27, 2026

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán faces his most serious challenge yet in the April 2026 parliamentary elections. All of Europe should monitor the Fidesz campaign: It will use unprecedented methods of electoral manipulation to secure victory and maintain power.

For European leaders and Brussels officials, the instinct is to panic. But they may want to look across the Atlantic to Canada, where Trump’s provocative suggestion that the country could become a 51st state was met not with outrage, but restraint. Ottawa’s response has been deliberate and understated: keep calm and carry on.

Keep Calm and Carry On: Why Europe Shouldn’t Panic Over Trump’s Threats

By: Rajnish Singh | Wednesday, January 21, 2026

As Brussels contemplates a trade clash over Greenland, Europe may want to study Mark Carney’s brand of Canadian-style “cold shoulder” diplomacy.

According to Costa, “Cyprus’ own history of occupation and division has given it a very concrete understanding of the crucial value of international law for peace and stability among nations.

Cyprus brings a “unique perspective” to its EU presidency

By: Martin Banks | Tuesday, January 20, 2026

EU Council President Antonio Costa was clear, Cyprus will bring a “unique perspective” to its EU presidency.

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As minister of justice from 2015 to 2023, Ziobro was the author of judiciary reforms which provoked a major conflict with Brussels.

Hungary grants asylum to Polish ex-justice minister

By: BBC News | Tuesday, January 13, 2026

Hungary has granted political asylum to Poland’s former Justice Minister Zbigniew Ziobro who is facing charges of embezzlement.

Despite the fact that Russia is an economic midget and, as proven by the grave daily attacks on the civilian population all over Ukraine, a failed state in any civilized sense, Europe is far weaker at present than it should be.

Who Really Defends Europe — Ukraine or the U.S.?

By: The Globalist | Tuesday, January 13, 2026

Europeans still hesitate to understand that their defense will no longer be provided by the United States – but by Ukraine. That is true in a far more comprehensive sense than has been considered to date.

The failure by the European Council on December 18, 2025, to make a decision on Russian state assets has been depicted as a setback. Looked at another way, however, European solidarity held up well.

Solidarity Is a Must for Europe to Ensure its Own Security

By: Carnegie - Strategic Europe | Friday, January 9, 2026

Europe is designing a new model of collective security that no longer relies on the United States. For this effort to succeed, solidarity between member states that have different threat perceptions is vital.

The UK is already lining up with Brussels on some rules around food and agriculture to allow access to the economic European trading zone known as the single market.

Starmer ready for closer EU alignment ’in the national interest’

By: BBC News | Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Sir Keir Starmer has said the UK should move towards closer alignment with EU markets "if it’s in our national interest".

Romania hosts key command-and-control structures and has become a permanent pillar of the Alliance’s southeastern posture. In defense-industrial terms, that matters: long-term security relevance translates into long-term industrial confidence.

Why Romania Is the Next Defense Factory of Central and Eastern Europe

By: Radu Magdin | Monday, January 5, 2026

Step by step, Romania embedded itself into some of the most demanding industrial supply chains in the world, delivering at scale for German, French, American and Turkish manufacturers.

Ukraine needs an estimated €137bn over the next two years to cover both its military and its public services, and the EU plan is to cover two-thirds of that.

EU agrees €90bn loan for Ukraine but without using Russian assets

By: BBC News | Monday, December 22, 2025

European Union leaders have struck a late-night deal to lend Ukraine €90bn (£79bn; $105bn) over the next two years, after failing to agree on using frozen Russian assets.

Protracted conflicts have a tendency to acquire their own momentum: A dysfunctional status quo persists unless and until someone decides to spend political capital and break the deadlock. Cyprus is one such example—and one in which the EU effectively wrote itself out of conflict resolution when it invited one of the disputing parties, the Republic of Cyprus, to join the union in 2004.

Trump’s Peace Lessons for Europe

By: Carnegie - Strategic Europe | Tuesday, December 16, 2025

U.S. President Donald Trump’s claims to have ended eight wars may be debatable, but his peace efforts raise valid questions. Europe can learn lessons from Washington on how to break the deadlock in protracted conflicts.

Integrating new and emerging capabilities into joint planning and agreeing with their American counterparts on clear, consistent strategic messaging should be priorities for Europe. Without this alignment, mixed signals could inadvertently undermine deterrence efforts.

Unpacking Europe’s Deterrence Dilemmas

By: Carnegie - Strategic Europe | Thursday, December 11, 2025

The debate on the future of European deterrence has intensified, as NATO allies seek to balance three key aims. Going forward, they will need to cooperate more deeply to craft a coherent strategy for confronting new threats.

Europe’s first and most obvious vulnerability is its over dependence on the US security umbrella—a longstanding source of irritation in Washington dating back to the Obama presidency.

Europe Must Stop Whining and Start Winning

By: Rajnish Singh | Wednesday, December 10, 2025

Trump’s new National Security Strategy is rewriting the rules — Europe now must decide if it’s a player or a pawn.

Next June, the EU’s new Pact on Migration and Asylum comes into force and will spearhead a drive to boost expulsions of the half-million people ordered to leave every year

The EU’s message on migration is wrong and short-sighted

By: Friends of Europe | Tuesday, December 9, 2025

Giles Merritt questions the EU Commission President’s focus on border security when the greatest threat is Europe’s growing shortage of manpower

In his address, Prof Klaus, one of Europe’s most prominent and outspoken critics against what he calls “arrogant green activists,” spoke out against the “official doctrine of men-made global warming.”

Former Czech President to head up climate sceptic group

By: Martin Banks | Monday, December 8, 2025

Václav Klaus, the former President of the Czech Republic,has taken over the presidency of a foundation that questions the causes of climate change.

“All persons are presumed innocent until proven guilty by the competent Belgian courts of law,” EPPO emphasized.

Former EU diplomat Mogherini accused of fraud and corruption

By: EBR | Wednesday, December 3, 2025

Federica Mogherini, ex-EU foreign policy chief, and two others face allegations of procurement fraud, corruption, and conflict of interest linked to EU-funded training for junior diplomats, Belgian prosecutors say.

Key disagreements between Moscow and Kyiv remain, including over Ukraine agreeing to cede territory it continues to control and security guarantees provided by Europe.

Kremlin signals no Ukraine breakthrough after Putin talks with US

By: BBC News | Wednesday, December 3, 2025

Five hours of talks between Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Donald Trump’s senior negotiator appear to have failed to produce a breakthrough on securing a Ukraine peace deal.

The EU has enough leverage to achieve some genuine agency in negotiations. Be it sanctions, Russian frozen assets, security guarantees, or accession to the EU, Brussels has the cards to drive a nimble diplomacy that acts in close tandem with Ukraine.

Potential Peace in Ukraine Is a Moment of Reckoning for Europe

By: Carnegie - Strategic Europe | Tuesday, December 2, 2025

Sidelined by the latest U.S. initiative on Ukraine, Europe has no alternative but to set out its own strategic vision—not just for Kyiv but for the entire security order of the continent.

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EU Actually

Is the world entering a new nuclear arms race?

N. Peter KramerBy: N. Peter Kramer

The latest agreement, New Start, between Russia and the US on limiting nuclear arms expires. The US (3700) and Russia (4300) together have about 8.000 nuclear warheads. China stood around 600 last year, but according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), China could have nearly as many intercontinental ballistic missiles as Russia and the US by 2030.

Europe

Trump’s ‘Armada’ to Iran and the Return of Gunboat Diplomacy

Trump’s ‘Armada’ to Iran and the Return of Gunboat Diplomacy

US naval buildup in the Persian Gulf is putting pressure on the Ayatollahs, but it also raises the risk of military escalation, regional conflict, and dangerous miscalculation.

Business

EU waters down plans to end new petrol and diesel car sales by 2035

EU waters down plans to end new petrol and diesel car sales by 2035

Current rules state that new vehicles sold from that date should be "zero emission", but carmakers, particularly in Germany, have lobbied heavily for concessions.

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